Model Predictive Control for Deferrable Loads Scheduling

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Chen, 2014

Category: EE

Overall Rating

1.0/5 (7/35 pts)

Score Breakdown

  • Latent Novelty Potential: 2/10
  • Cross Disciplinary Applicability: 1/10
  • Technical Timeliness: 2/10
  • Obscurity Advantage: 2/5

Synthesized Summary

  • While the paper tackles a relevant problem and provides theoretical analysis for its specific MPC algorithm under uncertainty, its practical applicability is hindered by reliance on restrictive assumptions and a computationally intensive approach.

  • Despite some interesting analytical techniques, modern advancements in forecasting, robust/stochastic control, and data-driven methods offer more general, practical, and theoretically robust solutions for managing grid resources under uncertainty.

Optimist's View

Skeptic's View

  • The paper's core model for base load uncertainty – a causal filter operating on i.i.d. random variables – feels simplistic compared to modern time series forecasting techniques.

  • This paper likely faded because its theoretical analysis, while mathematically rigorous, hinges on a very strong assumption: the existence of a t-valley-filling solution.

  • The proposed "shrinking horizon" MPC, optimizing over the entire remaining time horizon at each step, is computationally daunting for long horizons typical in demand response (days/weeks)...

  • Contemporary control techniques, leveraging improved forecasting and more advanced optimization/learning methods, have surpassed this approach in generality, robustness, and practical applicability.

Final Takeaway / Relevance

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